prioritization-methods（优先排序方法）

Prioritization Methods & Frameworks

Overview

Data-driven frameworks for feature prioritization, backlog ranking, and MVP scoping. Choose the right framework based on your context: data availability, team size, and decision type.

When to Use This Skill

Auto-loaded by agents:

• feature-prioritizer - For RICE/ICE scoring, MVP scoping, and backlog ranking

Use when you need:

• Choosing between competing features
• Building quarterly roadmaps
• Backlog prioritization
• Saying "no" with evidence
• Clear prioritization decisions
• Resource allocation decisions
• MVP scoping decisions

Seven Core Frameworks

1. RICE Scoring (Intercom)

Formula: (Reach × Impact × Confidence) / Effort

Best for: Large backlogs (20+ items) with quantitative data

Components:

• Reach: Users impacted per quarter
• Impact: 0.25 (minimal) to 3 (massive)
• Confidence: 50% (low data) to 100% (high data)
• Effort: Person-months to ship

Example:

Dark Mode: (10,000 × 2.0 × 0.80) / 1.5 = 10,667

When to use: Post-PMF with metrics, need defendable priorities, data-driven culture

Template: assets/rice-scoring-template.md

2. ICE Scoring (Sean Ellis)

Formula: (Impact + Confidence + Ease) / 3

Best for: Quick experiments, early-stage products, limited data

Components (each 1-10):

• Impact: How much will this move the needle?
• Confidence: How sure are we?
• Ease: How simple to implement?

Example:

Email Notifications: (8 + 9 + 7) / 3 = 8.0

When to use: Growth experiments, startups, need speed over rigor

Template: assets/ice-scoring-template.md

3. Value vs Effort Matrix (2×2)

Quadrants:

• Quick Wins (high value, low effort) - Do first
• Big Bets (high value, high effort) - Strategic
• Fill-Ins (low value, low effort) - If capacity
• Time Sinks (low value, high effort) - Avoid

Best for: Visual presentations, portfolio planning, quick assessments

When to use: Clear communication, strategic planning, need visualization

Template: assets/value-effort-matrix-template.md

4. MoSCoW Method

Categories:

• Must Have (60%) - Critical for launch
• Should Have (20%) - Important but not critical
• Could Have (20%) - Nice-to-have
• Won't Have - Explicitly out of scope

Best for: MVP scoping, release planning, clear scope decisions

When to use: Fixed timeline, need to cut scope, binary go/no-go decisions

Template: assets/moscow-prioritization-template.md

5. Kano Model

Categories:

• Basic Needs (Must-Be): Expected, dissatisfiers if absent
• Performance Needs: More is better, linear satisfaction
• Excitement Needs (Delighters): Unexpected joy
• Indifferent: Users don't care
• Reverse: Users prefer without it

Best for: Understanding user expectations, competitive positioning, roadmap sequencing

When to use: Strategic planning, differentiation strategy, multi-release planning

Template: assets/kano-model-template.md

6. Weighted Scoring

Process:

1. Define criteria (User Value, Revenue, Strategic Fit, Effort)
2. Assign weights (must sum to 100%)
3. Score features (1-10) on each criterion
4. Calculate weighted score

Example:

Criteria: User Value 40%, Revenue 30%, Strategic 20%, Ease 10%
Feature: (8 × 0.40) + (6 × 0.30) + (9 × 0.20) + (5 × 0.10) = 7.3

Best for: Multiple criteria, complex trade-offs, custom needs

When to use: Balancing priorities, transparent decisions

Template: assets/weighted-scoring-template.md

7. Opportunity Scoring (Jobs-to-be-Done)

Formula: Importance + Max(Importance - Satisfaction, 0)

Process:

1. Identify customer jobs (outcomes, not features)
2. Survey: Rate importance (1-5) and satisfaction (1-5)
3. Calculate opportunity = importance + gap
4. Prioritize high-opportunity jobs (>7.0)

Best for: Outcome-driven innovation, understanding underserved needs, feature gap analysis

When to use: JTBD methodology, finding innovation opportunities, validation

Template: assets/opportunity-scoring-template.md

Choosing the Right Framework

Need speed? → ICE (fastest)

Have user data? → RICE (most rigorous)

Visual presentation? → Value/Effort (clear visualization)

MVP scoping? → MoSCoW (forces cuts)

User expectations? → Kano (strategic insights)

Complex criteria? → Weighted Scoring (custom)

Outcome-focused? → Opportunity Scoring (JTBD)

Detailed comparison: references/framework-selection-guide.md

Complete decision tree, framework comparison table, combining strategies

Best Practices

1. Be Consistent

• Use same framework across team
• Document assumptions explicitly
• Update scores as you learn

2. Combine Frameworks

• RICE for ranking + Value/Effort for visualization
• MoSCoW for release + RICE for roadmap
• Kano for strategy + ICE for tactics

3. Avoid Common Pitfalls

• Don't prioritize by HiPPO (Highest Paid Person's Opinion)
• Don't ignore effort (value alone insufficient)
• Don't set-and-forget (re-prioritize regularly)
• Don't game the system (honest scoring)

4. Clear Communication

• Show your work (transparent criteria)
• Visualize priorities clearly
• Explain trade-offs explicitly
• Document "why not" for rejected items

5. Iterate and Learn

• Track actual vs estimated impact
• Refine scoring over time
• Calibrate team estimates
• Learn from misses

Templates and References

Assets (Ready-to-Use Templates)

Copy-paste these for immediate use:

• assets/rice-scoring-template.md - Reach × Impact × Confidence / Effort
• assets/ice-scoring-template.md - Impact + Confidence + Ease / 3
• assets/value-effort-matrix-template.md - 2×2 visualization
• assets/moscow-prioritization-template.md - Must/Should/Could/Won't
• assets/kano-model-template.md - Expectation analysis
• assets/weighted-scoring-template.md - Custom criteria scoring
• assets/opportunity-scoring-template.md - Jobs-to-be-done prioritization

References (Deep Dives)

When you need comprehensive guidance:

• references/framework-selection-guide.md - Choose the right framework, comparison table, combining strategies, decision tree

Quick Reference

Problem: Too many features, limited resources
Solution: Use prioritization framework

Context-Based Selection:
├─ Lots of data? → RICE
├─ Need speed? → ICE
├─ Visual presentation? → Value/Effort
├─ MVP scoping? → MoSCoW
├─ User expectations? → Kano
├─ Complex criteria? → Weighted Scoring
└─ Outcome-focused? → Opportunity Scoring

Always: Document, communicate, iterate

Resources

Books:

• "Intercom on Product Management" (RICE framework)
• "Hacking Growth" by Sean Ellis (ICE scoring)
• "Jobs to be Done" by Anthony Ulwick (Opportunity scoring)

Tools:

• Airtable/Notion for scoring
• ProductPlan for roadmaps
• Aha!, ProductBoard for frameworks

Articles:

• "RICE: Simple prioritization for product managers" - Intercom
• "How to use ICE Scoring" - Sean Ellis
• "The Kano Model" - UX Magazine

Troubleshooting

"Everything scores the same priority": Your scoring criteria are too coarse. Increase granularity -- use 1-10 instead of 1-5. Or you're not differentiating on Effort enough. Recalibrate by anchoring your highest and lowest items first, then score the rest relative to those.

"Stakeholders disagree on scores": Use the framework as a discussion tool, not a calculator. When scores diverge, the value is in surfacing the disagreement, not resolving it with math. Have stakeholders defend their scores, then converge.

"I don't know which framework to pick": Start with RICE. It's the most widely applicable. Switch to Kano if you need to understand customer delight vs. expectations, or MoSCoW if you need a quick yes/no cut for a deadline.

Related Skills

• roadmap-frameworks - Turn priorities into roadmaps
• specification-techniques - Spec prioritized features
• product-positioning - Strategic positioning and differentiation

Key Principle: Choose one framework, use it consistently, iterate. Don't over-analyze - prioritization should enable decisions, not paralyze them.