reality-check（现实检验）

SKILL: reality-check

Purpose

Prevent bad strategic decisions by forcing assumptions into the open, testing them, and ranking feasibility before commitment.

When to Use

• A plan sounds good but may be fragile or unrealistic
• The user is optimistic without evidence
• A decision has meaningful downside risk

Inputs

• idea (required): the proposed plan/decision
• assumptions (optional): stated assumptions; if missing, Morpheus must extract them

Steps

1. List assumptions (explicit + implicit).
2. For each assumption:

- define what would make it true/false - define the cheapest test/experiment - define failure impact if wrong

1. Identify the weakest links (highest impact × lowest evidence).
2. Evaluate feasibility:

- resources/time - constraints/governance - reversibility

1. Produce:

- viability score (0–100) - critical flaws - recommendation (proceed / revise / stop)

1. Provide the next 1–3 validation steps.

Validation

• Assumptions are explicit and testable.
• Claims are labeled as evidence vs hypothesis.
• Recommendation follows the evidence, not optimism.

Output

• viability_score (0–100)
• critical_flaws
• recommendation
• next_steps

Safety Rules

• Prioritize truth over optimism.
• No financial guarantees or claims of certainty without evidence.

Example

Idea: “Launch a new token feature in 48h.” Output: viability 35/100; critical flaw: no governance approval + no test coverage; next steps: scope reduction + emergency review + paper validation.