fox-strategy（狐狸策略）

🦊 FOX v2.0 — Dual-Mode Scanner + minReasons Experiment

Fox reborn. Every lesson from v1.0's 20 closed positions baked in, plus one experimental tweak to test whether requiring breadth of confirmation reduces the weak-peak bleed.

⛔ CRITICAL AGENT RULES — READ BEFORE ANYTHING ELSE

RULE 1: Install path is /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/

The skill MUST be installed to exactly this path.

RULE 2: MAX 3 POSITIONS — check before EVERY entry

Before opening ANY position, call strategy_get_clearinghouse_state and count open positions. If positions >= 3, SKIP.

RULE 3: Scanner output is AUTHORITATIVE — never override from memory

The scanner is the single source of truth for all trading parameters.

RULE 4: Verify runtime is installed on every session start

Run openclaw senpi runtime list. Runtime must be listed. The position tracker and DSL exit are handled by the plugin runtime.

RULE 5: Never retry timed-out position creation

If create_position times out, check clearinghouse state first.

RULE 6: Never modify your own configuration

No adjustments to leverage, margin, scoring, or any parameter.

RULE 7: Record Stalker results for streak tracking

After every Stalker position closes, call record_stalker_result(tc, is_win).

The FOX v2.0 Experiment

Hypothesis: Fox v1.0's weak Stalker trades didn't just have low scores — they had thin confirmation. A score-7 entry from STALKER_CLIMB(+3) + SM_ACTIVE(+1) + time_bonus(+1) has 2 reasons beyond base. That's technically passing but only confirms "it's climbing with traders during good hours." No contribution acceleration, no deep start, no momentum signal. It's noise dressed as signal.

The tweak: Stalker entries require len(reasons) >= 3. This is the ONLY difference from the base scanner. Everything else — minScore, minTotalClimb, DSL tiers, Striker logic, streak gate — is identical.

What this filters: A Stalker at score 7 with reasons = [STALKER_CLIMB +8, SM_ACTIVE 15 traders] has 2 reasons → BLOCKED. The same signal with reasons = [STALKER_CLIMB +8, CONTRIB_ACCEL +0.002%/scan, SM_ACTIVE 15 traders] has 3 reasons → PASSES. The difference is contribution acceleration, which is a real confirmation that SM money is accelerating, not just present.

Expected effect: Fewer Stalker entries, higher quality. The question is whether this filters out too many winners (like NEAR SHORT +$18.10 which had 3 reasons and would pass) or just the chop.

Dual-Mode Entry

MODE A — STALKER (Accumulation) — Score >= 7, min 3 reasons

• SM rank climbing steadily over 3+ consecutive scans
• Total climb >= 8 ranks
• Contribution building each scan
• 4H trend aligned
• v2.0: At least 3 distinct scoring reasons required
• Streak gate: 3 consecutive Stalker losses → minScore raised to 9

MODE B — STRIKER (Explosion) — Score >= 9, min 4 reasons

• FIRST_JUMP or IMMEDIATE_MOVER (10+ rank jump from #25+)
• Rank jump >= 15 OR velocity > 15
• Raw volume >= 1.5x of 6h average
• Unchanged

Exit Management

DSL exit is handled by the plugin runtime via runtime.yaml. The position_tracker scanner auto-detects position opens/closes on-chain. See runtime.yaml for configuration details.

Entry flow:

1. Scanner outputs signal
2. Verify positions < 3
3. Verify exchange max leverage >= 7
4. Call create_position
5. Send ONE notification: position opened
6. position_tracker detects the new position automatically
7. Plugin DSL monitor applies trailing stop-loss protection

Monitor positions:

• openclaw senpi dsl positions — list all DSL-tracked positions
• openclaw senpi dsl inspect <ASSET> — full position details

On position close: 8. Call record_stalker_result(tc, is_win) if Stalker entry

Runtime Setup

Step 1: Set your strategy wallet address in runtime.yaml:

sed -i 's/${WALLET_ADDRESS}/<STRATEGY_WALLET_ADDRESS>/' /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/runtime.yaml

Replace <STRATEGY_WALLET_ADDRESS> with the actual wallet address.

Step 2: Set telegram chat ID for notifications:

sed -i 's/${TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID}/<CHAT_ID>/' /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/runtime.yaml

Replace <CHAT_ID> with the actual Telegram chat ID.

Step 3: Install the runtime:

openclaw senpi runtime create --path /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/runtime.yaml

Step 4: Verify:

openclaw senpi runtime list

Bootstrap Gate

On EVERY session start, check config/bootstrap-complete.json. If missing:

1. Read the senpi-trading-runtime skill: cat /data/workspace/skills/senpi-trading-runtime/SKILL.md — this provides all CLI commands for runtime management and DSL position inspection.
2. Verify Senpi MCP
3. Set wallet in runtime.yaml: sed -i 's/${WALLET_ADDRESS}/ACTUAL_ADDRESS/' /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/runtime.yaml
4. Set Telegram in runtime.yaml: sed -i 's/${TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID}/CHAT_ID/' /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/runtime.yaml
5. Install runtime: openclaw senpi runtime create --path /data/workspace/skills/fox-strategy/runtime.yaml
6. Verify runtime installed: openclaw senpi runtime list
7. Remove old DSL cron (if upgrading): run openclaw crons list, delete any cron containing dsl-v5.py via openclaw crons delete <id>
8. Create scanner cron (90s, main)
9. Write config/bootstrap-complete.json
10. Send: "🦊 FOX v2.0 online. minReasons experiment active. Score 7+, climb 8+, 3 reasons minimum. Silence = no conviction."

If bootstrap exists, still verify runtime and scanner cron on every session start.

Risk Management

Notification Policy

ONLY alert: Position OPENED (include reason count), position CLOSED (P&L + reason), streak gate activated/deactivated, critical error.

NEVER alert: Scanner found nothing, any reasoning.

Files

License

MIT — Built by Senpi (https://senpi.ai). Source: https://github.com/Senpi-ai/senpi-skills